Fragen und Antworten » Saints are back again for Thursday Night F

After playing on Thanksgiving T.J. Green Color Rush Jersey , the Cowboys and ootball in Dallas. Drew Brees and Co. have rattled off 10-straight wins, while the Cowboys have moved to first in the NFC East through a strong front seven and the emergence of Amari Cooper.Chase Daniel will make his second start for the Bears this Sunday in New York, as usual starter Mitchell Trubisky is sidelined for another week. The vaunted Bears’ defense will be tasked with the excellent skill players of Saquon Barkley and Odell Beckham Jr. Aaron Rodgers laid out the plan to make the playoffs in his post-game press conference after losing to the Vikings, which started with beating Josh Rosen and the Arizona Cardinals. Elsewhere, the Carolina Panthers will try to turn their season around and end a three-game skip as they travel to Tampa Bay to take on the Buccaneers.Indianapolis hits the road for a divisional matchup with the Jacksonville Jaguars, who’re now led by quarterback Cody Kessler. The Bills, who just beat the Jags last week, will play in Miami in an AFC East bout with the Miami Dolphins.Lamar Jackson will hit the road for his third career start as the Ravens take on the beaten and battered Atlanta Falcons, who’ve dropped three straight games. The Cincinnati Bengals, who’ve also dropped three in a row, will host the red-hot Denver Broncos.The Texans, winners of eight games in a row and first-place of the AFC South, will take on the Cleveland Browns in a game of former Brock Osweiler employers. In the mid-afternoon slate, the Chiefs will try and beat up on the dismantled Oakland Raiders, the Titans and Jets will battle it out in Tennessee and the 49ers take on the Seattle Seahawks.Kirk Cousins will take his Vikings’ troupe to New England to face Tom Brady and the Patriots in what could be the game of the week. Another possibility for stealing the show is Sunday Night Football https://www.coltsfanshop.com/Matthias-Farley-Jersey , where Philip Rivers and Ben Roethlisberger will duke it out on primetime. Week 13 ends with a NFC East contest between the slowly falling Redskins and slowly rising Eagles.As for the Stampede Blue staff, three have moved into the century mark with wins, and every writer has a record of .500 or above. Here’s this week’s picks. Brett Mock: 102-58 / Chris Shepherd: 101-59 / Andrew Aziz: 100-60 /Stephen Reed: 97-63 / Jared Malott: 95-65 / Elliot Denton: 94-66 / Zachary Hicks: 69-60 / Blake Pace: 57-26 / Ana Krasuski 14-14Thursday 8:20 pm ETSaints @ CowboysSunday 1:00 pm ETBears @ GiantsCardinals @ PackersColts @ JaguarsBrowns (6) @ Texans | Contrarians: Stephen Reed, Jared Malott, Blake Pace, Ana KrasuskiPanthers (8) @ Buccaneers | Contrarians: Chris Shepherd, KrasuskiBills @ Dolphins (6) | Contrarians: Elliot Denton, Zachary Hicks, Pace, KrasuskiBroncos (9) @ Bengals | Contrarian: KrasuskiRavens (6) @ Falcons | Contrarians: Shepherd, Reed, Aziz, BlystoneRams @ LionsSunday 4:05 pm ETChiefs @ RaidersJets @ TitansSunday 4:25 pm ETVikings @ Patriots (6) | Contrarians: Chris Blystone, Denton, Malott Christine Michael Sr Jersey , Hicks49ers @ SeahawksSunday 8:20 pm ETChargers @ Steelers (8) | Contrarians: Aziz, DentonMonday 8:15 pm ETRedskins @ Eagles (9) | Contrarians: AzizWhat are your picks for Week 13? SB Nation’s Bill Connelly recently wrote that one of the biggest strengths for the Colts heading into the playoffs is starting field position.In a follow up piece on Stampede Blue, Brett Mock wrote:Well, when it comes to numbers you only have to ask me once. So, let’s talk about stats, baby. Let’s talk about A plus B. Let’s talk about all the good things and the bad things with Indy. (for you yutes, that is an early 90s reference. . . as is yutes)YARDSFirst of all, let’s establish the numbers.Since I don’t have access to the data that Connelly used, I am going to use my own data which doesn’t exactly match his, but is close enough for government work.I show the 2018 average NFL starting field position for all teams was the 28.5 yard line. For the Colts, on average, the offense started at the 29.7(9th best) and the defense went to work on the 27.6 (10th best). When adding in the number of drives, I can calculate the total yardage advantage thusly: Incremental Field PositionTeamColtsNFLYds +/- AvgDrivesTtl +/-TeamColtsNFLYds +/- AvgDrivesTtl +/-That 375 yards of extra field position is pretty good. In fact, it ranks 5th of all teams. Notice that 8 of the top 10 teams are in the playoffs. Not a coincidence. POINTSQuantifying yardage impact into something tangible like points isn’t straight forward and it leads us into the mystical world of Expected Points. I will let Brian Burke, the creator of EP Pat McAfee Color Rush Jersey , explain:Since all drives start as a 1st & 10, this really simplifies the issue for the problem at hand. All I have to do is find the average “next points” for every play that is a 1st and 10. While the curve jumps around a bit, the core signal is linear with a constant slope. This means that a change in yardage of X anywhere on the field has the same relative impact to expected points.For example, The trendline formula gives a slope of 0.0617.So, every incremental 10 yards of field position results in incremental expected points of 10 x 0.0617 = 0.617 no matter where on the field the ball is. This is surprising to a lot of people and is really the answer to Brett’s question (although I’m sure, not in the language he wanted). Field position impacts points in a linear manner.There isn’t a surge (increased slope) or tipping point in expected points as you near the opponent 1 yard line, rather that change happens slowly and evenly as you move down the field. So, armed with this EP knowledge, I can extend the original table like this:Incremental Field PositionTeamColtsNFLYds +/- AvgDrivesTtl +/-EP per YardTotal EPTeamColtsNFLYds +/- AvgDrivesTtl +/-EP per YardTotal EPTa-da!The impact of better field position is 13.4 more offensive points and 9.7 fewer opponent points over the season or almost 1.5 net points per game.Too bad that can’t be converted into wins . . . Oh wait! I can do that too!WINSPythagorean Expected Wins uses a team’s season total points for and against to determine how many games they were expected to win.Pythagorean Expected Season Wins = 16 * (Points For ^ 2.53) / (Points For ^ 2.53 + Points Against ^ 2.53)For 2018, the Colts scored 433 points and gave up 344, so their Pythagorean wins was 16 * (433 ^ 2.53) / (433 ^ 2.53 + 344^ 2.53) = 10.3 gamesHowever, if our field position were just average, then the offense would have been expected to score 13.4 fewer and the defense would have been expected to give up 9.7 more and the revised formula would have been: 16 * (419.6 ^ 2.53) / (419.6 ^ 2.53 + 353.7 ^ 2.53) = 9.7 gamesSo, the difference between the Colt’s consistently good field position and NFL average is estimated to be the difference between 10.3 and 9.7 wins. That 0.6 expected wins might have been the difference between playoffs on the road or playoffs on the couch.